CRDO Analysis

Raw Analysis JSON

{
  "trend": {
    "code": "up",
    "label_zh": "上升趋势",
    "explanation_zh": "从2026年2月低点起高点和低点持续抬高，主趋势偏多。"
  },
  "symbol": "CRDO",
  "summary": "CRDO从2026年2月低点大幅反弹并突破历史前高区域，最新交易日放量冲高至246后回落收于229，整体趋势偏多但当日出现高位长上影与高潮量特征，具备试仓条件，首选等待回踩200-210或217-220支撑确认后再加仓。",
  "gap_type": {
    "code": "continuation_gap",
    "label_zh": "持续缺口",
    "explanation_zh": "近期上涨段中出现跳空，更像趋势加速延续缺口。"
  },
  "key_levels": [
    {
      "type": {
        "code": "support",
        "label_zh": "支撑位",
        "explanation_zh": "当前收盘附近的直接支撑区域。"
      },
      "label": "latest_close_support",
      "label_zh": "最新收盘支撑区",
      "strength": {
        "code": "medium",
        "label_zh": "中等",
        "explanation_zh": "尚未经过充分测试，强度待确认。"
      },
      "source_types": [
        {
          "code": "prior_high_low",
          "label_zh": "前高/前低",
          "explanation_zh": "近期高位整理低点形成的支撑。"
        }
      ],
      "approx_position_zh": "217-220附近"
    },
    {
      "type": {
        "code": "support",
        "label_zh": "支撑位",
        "explanation_zh": "前期箱体上沿突破后形成的关键支撑。"
      },
      "label": "breakout_level_support",
      "label_zh": "突破位支撑",
      "strength": {
        "code": "strong",
        "label_zh": "强",
        "explanation_zh": "多次历史价格记忆叠加，是更关键的下方支撑。"
      },
      "source_types": [
        {
          "code": "prior_high_low",
          "label_zh": "前高/前低",
          "explanation_zh": "2025年11月前高区域，突破后可转为支撑。"
        },
        {
          "code": "resonance",
          "label_zh": "共振位",
          "explanation_zh": "前高与趋势线支撑共振区域。"
        }
      ],
      "approx_position_zh": "200-210附近"
    },
    {
      "type": {
        "code": "resistance",
        "label_zh": "阻力位",
        "explanation_zh": "当日高点及近期高位区域构成的直接阻力。"
      },
      "label": "recent_high_resistance",
      "label_zh": "近期高点阻力",
      "strength": {
        "code": "medium",
        "label_zh": "中等",
        "explanation_zh": "近期形成，尚未被多次测试。"
      },
      "source_types": [
        {
          "code": "prior_high_low",
          "label_zh": "前高/前低",
          "explanation_zh": "最近数日高点形成的上方阻力区。"
        }
      ],
      "approx_position_zh": "245-250附近"
    }
  ],
  "final_action": {
    "code": "probe_buy_candidate",
    "label_zh": "试仓买入",
    "explanation_zh": "趋势/量价/形态三维偏多，但高位长上影与高潮量风险明显，适合小仓试探，止损参考200-205支撑位。"
  },
  "volume_state": {
    "code": "expansion",
    "label_zh": "放量",
    "explanation_zh": "最新交易日量柱15.9M，volumeRatio5d=2.02，明显高于近期均量。"
  },
  "chart_quality": {
    "code": "good",
    "label_zh": "清晰",
    "explanation_zh": "K线、边界与成交量副图均可辨认，图像质量良好。"
  },
  "macro_pattern": {
    "code": "breakout_pullback",
    "label_zh": "突破后震荡",
    "explanation_zh": "从长期底部整理区强势突破后进入高位震荡，尚未完成明确的回踩确认。"
  },
  "scoring_notes": [
    "加分：趋势结构清晰，道氏三步完成，主趋势明确偏多",
    "加分：近期量能放大明显，volumeRatio5d=2.02，突破区域量价配合",
    "扣分：当日高位长上影+大振幅，高潮量特征明显，K线信号存在冲突",
    "扣分：趋势偏晚期+加速角度，末端风险使setup_confidence下降，不能给更高分"
  ],
  "wyckoff_event": {
    "code": "unclear",
    "label_zh": "事件不明确",
    "explanation_zh": "当日大振幅量柱同时具备SOS和BC的部分特征，无法明确归类。"
  },
  "wyckoff_phase": {
    "code": "markup",
    "label_zh": "上涨阶段",
    "explanation_zh": "价格已大幅脱离底部区域，处于主动上涨推进阶段。"
  },
  "trend_maturity": {
    "code": "late",
    "label_zh": "趋势偏晚期",
    "explanation_zh": "从低位约87附近大幅拉升至230以上，累计涨幅超160%，趋势已进入偏晚阶段。"
  },
  "trend_strength": {
    "code": "strong",
    "label_zh": "趋势强度强",
    "explanation_zh": "从低点大幅拉升，近期高点持续创新高，趋势强度偏强。"
  },
  "rejection_flags": [
    "当日振幅极大（210-246），高位冲高后收盘回落，具有buying_climax（买入高潮）的部分特征，需警惕派发风险",
    "趋势偏晚期，从低点87拉升至230以上累计涨幅超160%，且趋势角度已加速，末端风险上升",
    "最新K线上影线明显，显示高位抛压较重，与买点13所需K线偏多条件存在冲突"
  ],
  "selection_score": 73,
  "dow_123_progress": {
    "code": "complete",
    "label_zh": "1-2-3步完成",
    "explanation_zh": "已突破下降趋势线、形成更高低点、并多次突破前高，道氏反转三步已完成。"
  },
  "readable_summary": {
    "main_risks": [
      "当日振幅极大（210-246），高位波动剧烈，止损宽度不易控制",
      "volumeRatio5d=2.02，近期量能极度放大，高潮量风险需关注",
      "突破区间尚未经过缩量回踩确认，仍属于最右侧试探阶段"
    ],
    "score_card": {
      "selection_score": 73,
      "selection_bucket": "B",
      "setup_confidence": 0.62,
      "structure_confidence": 0.72
    },
    "key_supports": [
      "217-220（最新收盘/当日低点支撑区）",
      "200-205（前期箱体上沿/突破位）",
      "174-180（图中主要前高阻力转支撑）"
    ],
    "signal_verdict": "试仓买入",
    "key_resistances": [
      "245-250（当日高点/近期高位）",
      "260-265（图中可见最高区）"
    ],
    "one_line_summary": "CRDO从低位大幅反弹后突破历史高位区域，最新交易日放量大阳，量价配合偏多，具备试仓条件。",
    "upgrade_triggers": [
      "缩量回踩217-220企稳并出现止跌K线",
      "放量突破245-250并收盘站稳"
    ],
    "current_structure": "长达数月底部整理后强势突破，当前处于突破后高位区间震荡",
    "nearest_buy_point": "买点13（多维共振，形成中）",
    "downgrade_triggers": [
      "放量跌破200-205并连续停留其下",
      "高位连续长上影且量柱持续萎缩"
    ]
  },
  "selection_bucket": "B",
  "setup_confidence": 0.62,
  "trend_line_state": {
    "code": "uptrend_line_intact",
    "label_zh": "上升趋势线完整",
    "explanation_zh": "2026年2月至今的上升趋势线未被有效跌破。"
  },
  "channel_structure": {
    "code": "rising_channel",
    "label_zh": "上升通道",
    "explanation_zh": "2026年2月以来价格在上升通道内有序推进，下轨承接多次有效。"
  },
  "image_limitations": [
    "当日振幅极大（低210高246），最新收盘229位于当日中下部，单日K线内部结构模糊",
    "最近3-5根K线波动剧烈，难以精确辨认K线组合"
  ],
  "secondary_pattern": {
    "code": "n_pattern",
    "label_zh": "N字结构",
    "explanation_zh": "从低点大幅上涨、高位回调、再次上涨创新高，形成N字延续结构。"
  },
  "trend_angle_state": {
    "code": "accelerating_60",
    "label_zh": "趋势角度加速",
    "explanation_zh": "2026年4月后斜率明显变陡，进入加速上涨阶段。"
  },
  "recent_signal_bias": {
    "code": "neutral",
    "label_zh": "中性偏谨慎",
    "explanation_zh": "放量偏多但高位长上影偏空，短期信号存在冲突。"
  },
  "effort_result_state": {
    "code": "possible_exhaustion",
    "label_zh": "可能衰竭",
    "explanation_zh": "当日放量极大但收盘229低于当日高点246，大量推进后收在中部，需警惕高潮量衰竭。"
  },
  "supply_demand_state": {
    "code": "demand_dominant",
    "label_zh": "需求主导",
    "explanation_zh": "近期放量上涨，买盘力量整体占主导。"
  },
  "timeframe_confirmed": true,
  "candidate_buy_points": [
    {
      "id": 13,
      "name": "多维共振突破",
      "status": {
        "code": "forming",
        "label_zh": "形成中",
        "explanation_zh": "多维偏多条件大部分满足，但高位长上影与高潮量风险使确认度下降。"
      },
      "confidence": 0.58,
      "theory_links": [
        "买点13要求趋势/量价/形态/K线至少三项同时偏多，当前趋势/量价/形态三项满足，K线偏中性，整体达到buying_climax风险临界"
      ],
      "missing_conditions": [
        "最新K线长上影，高位冲高受阻，K线信号不够偏多",
        "尚未出现缩量回踩支撑后的再次止跌确认",
        "趋势角度已进入加速阶段，接近末端风险"
      ],
      "hard_conditions_met": [
        "趋势偏多：2026年2月以来持续HH+HL结构",
        "量价偏多：近期放量突破前高，volumeRatio5d=2.02",
        "形态偏多：长期底部整理后突破，N字延续结构"
      ],
      "invalidating_signal": "放量跌破200-205支撑位并连续站稳其下，或当日高潮量后连续大阴回落。",
      "numbering_rationale": "当前不存在单一长期箱体突破锚点（买点8）或明确双突破结构（买点5/6），而是趋势、量价、形态三维共振，因此归为买点13；但趋势偏晚期且长上影明显，置信度降至forming。",
      "soft_conditions_met": [
        "道氏三步完成，主趋势已确认",
        "上升通道结构完整",
        "美股市场背景下CRDO为AI相关题材，动能较强"
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": 9,
      "name": "突破后回调站稳",
      "status": {
        "code": "forming",
        "label_zh": "形成中",
        "explanation_zh": "若价格回踩217-220或200-210支撑并企稳，将构成买点9。"
      },
      "confidence": 0.44,
      "theory_links": [
        "买点9要求突破后回踩关键支撑位并出现止跌信号，当前条件仅部分满足"
      ],
      "missing_conditions": [
        "尚未出现回踩支撑的动作，当前仍在高位震荡",
        "右侧缺少止跌K线信号（锤头/看涨吞没/早晨之星）",
        "回踩期间量能是否萎缩尚不可知"
      ],
      "hard_conditions_met": [
        "前面已有明确突破，突破前高175-180区域",
        "当前尚未跌破主要支撑位"
      ],
      "invalidating_signal": "回踩放量失守200-205并连续站稳其下。",
      "numbering_rationale": "若后续出现回踩企稳，买点9将是更优质的介入点；当前仍属于前置观察阶段。",
      "soft_conditions_met": [
        "整体趋势偏强，回踩后承接概率较高"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "structure_confidence": 0.72,
  "volume_panel_present": true,
  "visible_bars_estimate": 254,
  "pattern_disambiguation": [
    "当日振幅极大（210-246），既有冲高高潮特征（BC风险），也有强势量价配合特征，两者存在冲突，需关注后续是否快速回落",
    "当前价格位置接近近一年最高区，既可能是主升浪延续，也可能是买入高潮末端，已纳入rejection_flags",
    "图中2025年10-11月前高约175-180区域已被明确突破并确认，当前是该突破后的延续上涨"
  ],
  "recent_candle_evidence": [
    "开盘219，大幅冲高至246后回落至210附近，最终收于229，典型大振幅K线",
    "量柱15.9M，volumeRatio5d=2.02，为近期最大量，放量冲高后收在中下部",
    "上影线明显长于下影线，显示高位抛压较重"
  ],
  "recent_candle_patterns": [
    {
      "code": "shooting_star",
      "label_zh": "射击之星/长上影",
      "explanation_zh": "高位大振幅，上影显著，冲高受阻回落。"
    },
    {
      "code": "unclear",
      "label_zh": "最近组合不明确",
      "explanation_zh": "最近3-5根K线波动极大，无法可靠归类为标准组合。"
    }
  ],
  "acceleration_line_state": {
    "code": "first_acceleration",
    "label_zh": "首次加速线",
    "explanation_zh": "图中可见一条明显比之前更陡的加速推进段，尚未看到第二条更陡的加速线。"
  },
  "price_position_in_range": {
    "code": "high",
    "label_zh": "区间高位",
    "explanation_zh": "当前价格接近近一年波动区间的顶部附近。"
  },
  "required_numeric_checks": [
    "确认200-210区域是否与重要均线（如20/50日均线）共振，以精确止损位",
    "精确计算从2026年2月低点至今的斐波那契回调位，明确0.382/0.5回撤对应价格区间",
    "核查近30日平均成交量数值，精确评估15.9M是否属于异常高潮量级别",
    "确认当日246高点附近是否存在历史成交密集区或期权大量持仓区，评估上方阻力强度",
    "评估当日大振幅K线（振幅约16%）在历史分布中的位置，判断是否属于极端异常事件"
  ],
  "macro_pattern_completion": 75,
  "recent_candle_description": [
    "最新交易日为极大振幅K线，开219低210高246收229，实体偏小但振幅约35点，上影较长显示高位受阻",
    "收盘229低于当日高点246约17点，量柱为近期最大，高潮量特征明显"
  ],
  "composite_price_volume_pattern": {
    "code": "expand_contract_expand",
    "label_zh": "放量-缩量-再放量",
    "explanation_zh": "整体呈现放量启动、整理缩量、再次放量突破的节奏。"
  }
}