AMKR Analysis

Raw Analysis JSON

{
  "trend": {
    "code": "up",
    "label_zh": "上升趋势",
    "explanation_zh": "从2025-05约20美元区域持续上升至84高点，整体HH+HL结构明显。"
  },
  "symbol": "AMKR",
  "summary": "AMKR处于1年大上升趋势的高位回调阶段，整体HH+HL结构完整，69.89关键支撑目前守住，具备N字中继候选特征；但趋势偏晚期、当日上影较长、量比不显著，高位派发风险不可忽视，建议小仓试探并严格止损于69.89下方，等待放量突破78-80区域确认方向。",
  "gap_type": {
    "code": "none",
    "label_zh": "无明显关键缺口",
    "explanation_zh": "图中无对当前判断关键的显著缺口结构。"
  },
  "key_levels": [
    {
      "type": {
        "code": "resistance",
        "label_zh": "阻力位",
        "explanation_zh": "当前价格上方压制区域。"
      },
      "label": "1_year_high",
      "label_zh": "1年高点",
      "strength": {
        "code": "strong",
        "label_zh": "强",
        "explanation_zh": "1年高点，价格记忆最强的阻力。"
      },
      "source_types": [
        {
          "code": "prior_high_low",
          "label_zh": "前高",
          "explanation_zh": "图中最高价84.15为近1年高点压制。"
        }
      ],
      "approx_position_zh": "84.15"
    },
    {
      "type": {
        "code": "resistance",
        "label_zh": "阻力位",
        "explanation_zh": "近期高位回落前的关键压制区。"
      },
      "label": "recent_high_resistance",
      "label_zh": "近期高点阻力带",
      "strength": {
        "code": "strong",
        "label_zh": "强",
        "explanation_zh": "近期多次冲高受阻，阻力有效。"
      },
      "source_types": [
        {
          "code": "prior_high_low",
          "label_zh": "前高",
          "explanation_zh": "78-80区域为近期反复测试的高点阻力带。"
        },
        {
          "code": "integer_level",
          "label_zh": "整数关口",
          "explanation_zh": "80为心理整数关口形成共振。"
        }
      ],
      "approx_position_zh": "78-80"
    },
    {
      "type": {
        "code": "support",
        "label_zh": "支撑位",
        "explanation_zh": "当前价格下方关键承接区域。"
      },
      "label": "pullback_low_support",
      "label_zh": "近期回调低点支撑",
      "strength": {
        "code": "strong",
        "label_zh": "强",
        "explanation_zh": "近期回调低点，是当前最重要的多头止损参考位。"
      },
      "source_types": [
        {
          "code": "prior_high_low",
          "label_zh": "前低",
          "explanation_zh": "69.89附近为近期明显回调低点，多次承接。"
        },
        {
          "code": "volume_cluster",
          "label_zh": "成交密集区",
          "explanation_zh": "该区域成交量较大，换手较多，形成支撑。"
        }
      ],
      "approx_position_zh": "69.89-70"
    },
    {
      "type": {
        "code": "support",
        "label_zh": "支撑位",
        "explanation_zh": "中期重要支撑位。"
      },
      "label": "mid_term_support",
      "label_zh": "中期支撑区",
      "strength": {
        "code": "medium",
        "label_zh": "中等",
        "explanation_zh": "若69-70失守则该区域为下一关键承接。"
      },
      "source_types": [
        {
          "code": "prior_high_low",
          "label_zh": "前高变支撑",
          "explanation_zh": "55-56附近曾为前期显著高点，突破后转为支撑。"
        }
      ],
      "approx_position_zh": "55-56"
    }
  ],
  "final_action": {
    "code": "probe_buy_candidate",
    "label_zh": "试仓买入",
    "explanation_zh": "大趋势偏多，关键支撑69.89未破，可小仓试探，止损参考69.89下方，等待放量转强确认。"
  },
  "volume_state": {
    "code": "mixed",
    "label_zh": "量能混合",
    "explanation_zh": "近期高位区量柱忽大忽小，缺乏单一方向明确信号。"
  },
  "chart_quality": {
    "code": "good",
    "label_zh": "清晰",
    "explanation_zh": "图像清楚，K线、量柱、边界均可辨认。"
  },
  "macro_pattern": {
    "code": "n_pattern",
    "label_zh": "N字结构",
    "explanation_zh": "整体大N字上涨后，近期高位回调形成短期N字中继候选。"
  },
  "scoring_notes": [
    "大趋势方向清晰，1年HH+HL结构完整，加分",
    "趋势偏晚期、加速角度、高位震荡，存在派发风险，扣分",
    "近期K线偏中性，当日上影长收盘回落，量比不显著，买点条件不充分，扣分",
    "69.89关键支撑目前守住，回调低点抬高尚在，给予B级观察"
  ],
  "wyckoff_event": {
    "code": "unclear",
    "label_zh": "事件不明确",
    "explanation_zh": "高位反复震荡，UT与LPSY特征均有，但单一事件无法确认。"
  },
  "wyckoff_phase": {
    "code": "distribution",
    "label_zh": "派发阶段候选",
    "explanation_zh": "高位震荡反复，不排除派发特征，但尚未跌破关键支撑。"
  },
  "trend_maturity": {
    "code": "late",
    "label_zh": "趋势偏晚期",
    "explanation_zh": "从20涨至84，累计涨幅超300%，已处于趋势偏晚阶段。"
  },
  "trend_strength": {
    "code": "normal",
    "label_zh": "趋势强度中等",
    "explanation_zh": "近期从84高位回落至69附近，短期走势出现明显波动。"
  },
  "rejection_flags": [
    "趋势处于晚期（累计涨幅300%+），高位派发风险不可忽视",
    "当日上影长，冲高78.41回落至74.74，短期空头压力存在",
    "近期高位箱体震荡既像N字中继，也像头肩顶/M顶分布，存在结构歧义",
    "量比仅1.11，不属于显著放量，无法确认有效突破"
  ],
  "selection_score": 71,
  "dow_123_progress": {
    "code": "complete",
    "label_zh": "道氏1-2-3完整",
    "explanation_zh": "主上升趋势中HH+HL结构完整，当前处于HH后的回调阶段。"
  },
  "readable_summary": {
    "main_risks": [
      "近期从84高位回落幅度较大，短期仍处于高位震荡调整阶段",
      "量比5日仅1.11，量能并未显著放大，突破确认不够充分",
      "当日振幅大（73.2-78.41），高低差超7%，短期波动风险较高"
    ],
    "score_card": {
      "selection_score": 71,
      "selection_bucket": "B",
      "setup_confidence": 0.55,
      "structure_confidence": 0.72
    },
    "key_supports": [
      "69.89附近（近期回调低点/前期支撑密集区）",
      "55.64附近（中期重要支撑）",
      "74.74当日收盘止跌观察位"
    ],
    "signal_verdict": "试仓买入",
    "key_resistances": [
      "78.41（当日高点/近期阻力）",
      "84.15（图中1年高点）",
      "80附近（心理整数关口）"
    ],
    "one_line_summary": "一年长期上升趋势延续，近期从高位回调后出现企稳迹象，量价尚可，可小仓试探。",
    "upgrade_triggers": [
      "放量突破78.41-80区域并收盘站稳，量比显著放大",
      "缩量回踩69.89-70附近止稳并出现看涨K线组合"
    ],
    "current_structure": "长期上升趋势 + 高位回调企稳，N字中继结构形成中",
    "nearest_buy_point": "买点10（N字中继，形成中）/ 买点13（多维共振，形成中）",
    "downgrade_triggers": [
      "放量跌破69.89并连续停留其下，趋势低点抬高结构破坏",
      "成交量显著萎缩而价格持续无法收复75以上"
    ]
  },
  "selection_bucket": "B",
  "setup_confidence": 0.55,
  "trend_line_state": {
    "code": "uptrend_line_intact",
    "label_zh": "上升趋势线完整",
    "explanation_zh": "从低点连接的上升趋势线尚未被明显破坏。"
  },
  "channel_structure": {
    "code": "rising_channel",
    "label_zh": "上升通道",
    "explanation_zh": "大趋势整体可见上升通道结构，但近期斜率加大后已偏离均衡。"
  },
  "image_limitations": [
    "近期高位区域K线密集，部分单根K线实体辨认精度有限",
    "斐波那契位未在图中标注，只能视觉估算回调深度"
  ],
  "secondary_pattern": {
    "code": "box_range",
    "label_zh": "高位箱体震荡",
    "explanation_zh": "近期在69-84区域反复震荡，形成高位箱体特征。"
  },
  "trend_angle_state": {
    "code": "accelerating_60",
    "label_zh": "加速上升角度",
    "explanation_zh": "2026年初后上升斜率明显加大，但近期已出现高位震荡。"
  },
  "recent_signal_bias": {
    "code": "neutral",
    "label_zh": "中性偏弱",
    "explanation_zh": "当日上影较长，收盘回落，短期信号偏中性，略有弱势迹象。"
  },
  "effort_result_state": {
    "code": "possible_exhaustion",
    "label_zh": "可能出现衰竭",
    "explanation_zh": "高位量能未持续扩大而价格无法创新高，显示推升力度减弱。"
  },
  "supply_demand_state": {
    "code": "balanced",
    "label_zh": "供需相对均衡",
    "explanation_zh": "近期红绿K线交替，无明显单边供需失衡。"
  },
  "timeframe_confirmed": true,
  "candidate_buy_points": [
    {
      "id": 10,
      "name": "N字上涨中继",
      "status": {
        "code": "forming",
        "label_zh": "形成中",
        "explanation_zh": "大N字结构上涨后回调，低点抬高结构仍存，但右侧尚未明确转强突破回调高点。"
      },
      "confidence": 0.52,
      "theory_links": [
        "N字中继要求回调不破关键低点后再次转强突破",
        "当前缺少右段明确放量转强的K线确认"
      ],
      "missing_conditions": [
        "右侧尚未明确放量突破回调段最高点（约84附近），N字右段尚未确认",
        "回调期量能未呈现理想缩量，近期量柱仍较活跃",
        "当日上影较长，收盘明显低于当日高点，短期动能不足"
      ],
      "hard_conditions_met": [
        "大趋势偏上，整体HH+HL结构完整",
        "回调低点69.89高于前期多个低点，低点抬高特征存在"
      ],
      "invalidating_signal": "若放量跌破69.89并连续停留其下，HH+HL结构破坏，买点10否定",
      "numbering_rationale": "大趋势向上，当前是高位回调后的中继候选，回调低点未破，但右侧尚未放量突破回调高点，归为买点10形成中。",
      "soft_conditions_met": [
        "回调期间整体波动有收敛迹象",
        "当日收盘74.74在回调低点69.89之上，未创新低"
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": 13,
      "name": "多维共振",
      "status": {
        "code": "forming",
        "label_zh": "形成中",
        "explanation_zh": "趋势偏多、中期量价尚可，但近期K线偏中性、位置偏高，多维共振不够充分。"
      },
      "confidence": 0.48,
      "theory_links": [
        "买点13要求趋势、量价、形态、K线至少3项同时偏多",
        "当前K线和量能两项不达标，仅趋势和大形态偏多"
      ],
      "missing_conditions": [
        "近期K线信号偏中性，缺乏明确看涨K线组合",
        "当日量比仅1.11，量价偏多条件不充分",
        "趋势已处于晚期，角度偏加速，不符合买点13理想的平稳上升状态",
        "形态维度存在顶部派发与中继并存的歧义"
      ],
      "hard_conditions_met": [
        "大趋势方向向上（1年维度明确）",
        "量价整体在趋势上升期配合较好"
      ],
      "invalidating_signal": "若出现second_acceleration_warning或放量跌破69.89，买点13直接否定",
      "numbering_rationale": "大趋势明确，但趋势偏晚期、量价和K线短期不配合，多维共振条件不足，只能归为形成中候选。",
      "soft_conditions_met": [
        "整体上升通道结构存在",
        "当前回调后出现短期企稳迹象"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "structure_confidence": 0.72,
  "volume_panel_present": true,
  "visible_bars_estimate": 254,
  "pattern_disambiguation": [
    "高位震荡既有N字中继可能，也存在头肩顶/M顶分布特征，需关注69.89是否守住",
    "近期从84急跌至69再反弹，短期更像高位箱体而非标准旗形，不归旗形",
    "累计涨幅300%+，趋势偏晚，多头中继与顶部派发并存，必须用后续量价确认方向"
  ],
  "recent_candle_evidence": [
    "当日大振幅（高低差5.21美元），上影明显，收盘明显低于日内高点78.41",
    "近几日K线在70-78区域反复，红绿交替，缺乏方向性确认",
    "量比1.11接近均量，未见明显缩量企稳或放量突破"
  ],
  "recent_candle_patterns": [
    {
      "code": "indecision_cluster",
      "label_zh": "犹豫集群",
      "explanation_zh": "近期多根K线实体较小、振幅大、方向不明，整体偏犹豫。"
    },
    {
      "code": "shooting_star",
      "label_zh": "射击之星候选",
      "explanation_zh": "当日冲高78.41后回落收于74.74，上影明显，偏空K线特征。"
    },
    {
      "code": "unclear",
      "label_zh": "组合不明确",
      "explanation_zh": "整体近3-5根K线无法归入典型强反转组合。"
    }
  ],
  "acceleration_line_state": {
    "code": "first_acceleration",
    "label_zh": "出现一条加速线",
    "explanation_zh": "2026年初出现明显斜率加大的加速推升，目前正在修正。"
  },
  "price_position_in_range": {
    "code": "high",
    "label_zh": "区间偏高",
    "explanation_zh": "当前价格在1年区间上半段，距历史高点84.15不远。"
  },
  "required_numeric_checks": [
    "确认69.89是否为近期最低回调点，以及该位置与前期关键支撑的精确重合度",
    "精确计算从高点84.15回调至69.89的斐波那契位（0.382/0.5/0.618）是否与当前企稳区共振",
    "统计近20日平均成交量，与当日630万股对比，确认量比是否构成放量启动",
    "确认78.41-80区域是否存在显著成交密集带，评估突破所需力度",
    "评估当前收盘74.74与69.89止损之间的距离是否满足合理盈亏比（建议至少1:2）"
  ],
  "macro_pattern_completion": 50,
  "recent_candle_description": [
    "最近数根K线在70-80区域反复震荡，当日（2026-06-02）开高75.82，高点触及78.41，收于74.74，振幅约7%",
    "当日量比5日为1.11，小幅放量但未达显著放量级别，收盘较日内高点回落约5%"
  ],
  "composite_price_volume_pattern": {
    "code": "expand_contract_expand",
    "label_zh": "放量-缩量-再放量",
    "explanation_zh": "启动段放量推升，高位有缩量整理，最右侧小幅放量尝试企稳。"
  }
}